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2017 Forecast: Looking for 20% from SP 500 in Calendar 2017

December 17, 2016 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Here was the 2016 forecast, calling for 10% and while it looked pretty remote the first 2 months of 2016,…

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Posted in: 2017, 2017 Fiscal Policy, Forecasts, SP 500 forecast(s)

Weekly Earnings Update: Q4 ’16 Revenue Growth 5% Expected, Strongest Since Q1 ’12 (but read fine print)

December 12, 2016 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Typically, there is always one or two data points that jump out from the Thomson or Factset earnings summaries which…

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Posted in: Amazon, PE expansion / contraction, SP 500 Revenue Growth, Utilities, Weekly Earnings Update

FOMC Announcement Next Week: The FOMC Normally Isn’t “Preemptive”

December 9, 2016 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Many of the pundits around today, probably don’t remember when the fed funds rate was 15%, the Prime Rate was…

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Posted in: FOMC meeting, interest rates, TBF - inverse Treasury, Treasuries

Cash Repatriation for Share Repurchases in 2017 – First Take

December 7, 2016 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Yesterday, 12/6/16, at the CFA Chicago luncheon, Dan Clifton of Strategas Partners gave a great presentation on the coming fiscal…

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Posted in: 2017, 2017 Fiscal Policy, Repurchase stock

SP 500 Weekly Earnings Update: Q4 ’16 SP 500 Earnings “Less Negative”

December 4, 2016 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Thomson Reuters (by the numbers): Forward 4-quarter estimate: $128.61 vs last week’s $128.56 and another sequential revision higher, which is…

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Posted in: Fwd 4-qtr growth rate (SP 500), SP 500 Earnings Yield, Weekly Earnings Update

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Fundamentalis

  • Style-Box Update: Growth Still Leading Value Across Market-Caps: Zeroing in on Mid-Caps
  • SP 500 Earnings Update: The 10-year-and-Under Treasury Maturities Are Now All Below the Fed Funds Rate
  • No Question, the Monetary Policy (Interest Rate) Narrative Has Changed (For the Better)
  • Nike Earnings Preview: Some Improvement is Expected; The 7% Free-Cash-Flow Yield Helps
  • SP 500 Earnings Update: Q2 ’25 Earnings Should be Ok; The Attention Turns to Q3 ’25 Guidance

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