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What’s with Amazon and an SP 500 Earnings Update

August 26, 2017 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

“Damn it – don’t ever trust your instincts” – John Cusack as Martin Blank in the all-time-great “Grosse Pointe Blank”…

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Posted in: Amazon, Weekly Earnings Update

TLT Poised for Breakout ? Wouldn’t Be a Plus for Stock Market

August 23, 2017 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Since this blog post, the 10-year Treasury yield has fallen, which has put the TLT (below) close to breaking its downtrend…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, TLT

Russell 2000 – Teetering on the Edge?

August 20, 2017 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

  Above are two charts of the Russell 2000 (IWM). The first shows the IWM breaching its 200-day moving average…

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Posted in: Growth v Value, Russell 2000, Style analysis

SP 500 “Earnings Yield” 5.70% This Week – What’s It Telling Us ?

August 19, 2017 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

For “Fed Model” fans, a SP 500 earnings yield of 5.70% with a 10-year Treasury rate of 2.19% continues to…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, Fed Model, SP 500 Earnings Yield, SP 500 Valuation

What is SP 500’s “Forward Earnings Curve” Telling Us ?

August 17, 2017 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

  Maybe a better title for today’s SP 500 earnings look, is “What impact did Apple’s fiscal Q3 ’17 quarter…

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Posted in: Apple (AAPL), Earnings estimate revisions, Forward SP 500 earnings curve

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Fundamentalis

  • Fed Funds Cut Coming Wednesday, December 10th / Longer-Maturity Move Likely to Happen w Fed Chair Change
  • Probability Grows for Below-Average Returns in 2026
  • SP 500 Earnings: Forward SP 500 Estimates Still Rising – Oracle Reports This Week
  • International Equity Annual Returns: Non-Correlated to the US Returns and Don’t Forget Japan
  • Annual Fixed Income Returns: Emerging Markets Lead, Muni’s Lag

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