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Insightful market commentary from a fresh perspective.
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How Good is the SP 500 “Fwd 4-Quarter Estimate” at Predicting the Year-End Actual Estimate ?

February 20, 2017 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Reader “dmarilley” over on Seeking Alpha asked a good question about a month ago, but it has taken me some…

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Posted in: 2017, 2017 Fiscal Policy, Forward SP 500 earnings curve, Fwd 4-qtr growth rate (SP 500)

SP 500 Weekly Earnings Update: Continuing to Overweight Energy

February 19, 2017 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S Data by the numbers: Forward 4-quarter estimate: $131.39 versus $131.50 last week P.E ratio: 18(x) PEG ratio:…

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Posted in: Bespoke, Energy ETF's (XLE, Energy sector, S&P 500, Weekly Earnings Update

Brazil and Emerging Markets – Muy Bueno

February 15, 2017 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

In 2016, Technology didn’t do very well with the Nasdaq up 6% – 7% when looking at the full-year returns…

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Posted in: Brazil (EWZ), Commodities, EEM, Emerging Market ETF's (EEM, Emerging Markets, VWO)

SP 500 Weekly Earnings Update: Tech and Growth are leading in ’17

February 11, 2017 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S data (by the numbers): Forward 4-quarter estimate: $131.50 vs last week’s $131.95 P.E ratio:17.6(x) PEG ratio: 2.24(x)…

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Posted in: Style analysis, Technology, Weekly Earnings Update

SP 500 Earnings Yield: A little Fed Model History

Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Way back in late, 1999, and early 2000, the SP 500 earnings yield on the SP 500 was roughly 3.3%,…

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Posted in: Fed Model, SP 500 Earnings Yield

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Fundamentalis

  • Technology Sector: Looking at the Last 5 Quarters “Upside Surprise” Factor
  • SP 500 Earnings: Nothing Much This Week, but Don’t Ignore Non-Correlated
  • Style-Box Update: Growth Still Leading Value Across Market-Caps: Zeroing in on Mid-Caps
  • SP 500 Earnings Update: The 10-year-and-Under Treasury Maturities Are Now All Below the Fed Funds Rate
  • No Question, the Monetary Policy (Interest Rate) Narrative Has Changed (For the Better)

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