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Estimate Revisions Still Very Positive – Q4 ’17 Earnings Start Shortly

December 30, 2017 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

        The late selloff today wasn’t really expected, but then again neither was the seemingly uneventful market…

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Posted in: 2017, 2017 Tax reform, Earnings estimate revisions, Weekly Earnings Update

Top 5 Market-Cap Weights in SP 500 are 12% of Index

December 25, 2017 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

  Once a year, looking at the top market cap weights in the SP 500 can provide some insight into…

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Posted in: Apple (AAPL), Financial sector, Financials, Technology

The Bond Market is the Risk in 2018

December 23, 2017 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Supposedly, the old-school Sicilian Mafia have an old saying, “the snake lays coiled in Napoli” which supposedly means that in…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, Bond Market Liquidity, Bond Market(s), TBF - inverse Treasury, TLT

SP 500 Earnings: Forward “Expected” Growth Rate now over 11%

December 22, 2017 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

A quick update on the SP earnings data in front of the long weekend: Thomson Reuters data (by the numbers,…

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Posted in: Fwd 4-qtr growth rate (SP 500)

2018 Forecast: Look for A Lower Return from SP 500 in 2018

December 18, 2017 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

The US economy, as well as global GDP growth is accelerating off a slow, post-2008 below-average pace; SP 500 earnings…

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Posted in: 2018, AGG, MSFT, SCHW

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Fundamentalis

  • Bond Market Asset Class Returns – Not Great, but Not Shabby Either
  • SP 500 Earnings: Expected Full-year ’26 SP 500 EPS Growth was 15.6% on Jan 1, Now 22.6% as of Friday, May 1
  • Cliff-Note IBM, Boeing Earnings Summaries: Boeing’s OK; IBM is All About What Mgmt Didn’t Say
  • SP 500 Earnings: A Broken Record – Positive Revisions. SP 500 Revenue Growth Worth Noting Again
  • Boeing / IBM Earnings Previews: BA Still Requires Patience, While IBM’s AI Book is Growing

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