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Insightful market commentary from a fresh perspective.
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Why the Last Two Weeks of December ’15 Matter

December 20, 2015 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Yesterday, on  this blog, we articulated the bullish case for stock prices for 2016 (here), referencing and linking to some…

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Posted in: Brazil (EWZ), EEM, Emerging Markets, Energy sector, IYE), Kimble / Detrick, SP 500 200-day moving average, SP 500 chart, Technical Analysis, VWO)

10% SP 500 return in 2016 Shouldn’t Be A Surprise

December 19, 2015 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Per Bespoke, bullish sentiment is at a 3-year low (according to Bespoke’s sentiment work published late this week), and with…

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Posted in: EEM, Emerging Markets, Energy sector, Financial sector, Financials, Forecasts, Technology, US Dollar

SP 500 Earnings Yield / Fed Model / FOMC Meeting / Year-end Rally

December 12, 2015 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

“Fed Model” fans are familiar with the SP 500 earnings yield, since it is the Fed Model calculation that subtracts…

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Posted in: FDX, Fed Model, ORCL, SP 500 Earnings Yield, Treasuries, Weekly Earnings Update

An Eye-Opening Chart on Commodity Performance and a Look At Basic Materials 2016 Earnings Estimates

December 9, 2015 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Stocks Versus Commodities The above link is a chart from “This Week on Wall Street”, a blog run by Doug…

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Posted in: Basic Materials, Commodities

A Look at 2016: Let’s Check on the Financial and Energy Sectors

December 5, 2015 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

With companies holding their annual investor days throughout December, the earnings estimates will start to take shape for full-year 2016,…

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Posted in: Energy sector, Financial sector, Financials, Home Depot (HD), LEN, TOL, UTX

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Fundamentalis

  • Yield Curve Steepened Last Week, While the US Equity Indices Became Very Overbought
  • SP 500 Earnings: 2026 Expected SP 500 EPS Hasn’t Wavered Much from Expected 14% Growth Rate
  • SP 500 Earnings: Continued Upward Pressure on Forward SP 500 Estimates
  • Bond / Fixed-Income Returns Having a Good Year (so far) in 2025
  • SP 500 Earnings: SP 500 EPS Growth for 2025 Has Risen from 8% to 10% since Late June

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