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SP 500 Earnings: Earnings Are a Crapshoot Now / Banks Look to Price in a Recession

April 5, 2025 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

The SP 500 is down 17% – 18% from it’s all-time-high in mid-February ’25. The SP 500 is down -13.53%…

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Posted in: BAC, C, Financial sector, Financials, JPM, MS, Weekly Earnings Update

SP 500 Earnings: SP 500 Down Just 5% YTD / High-Yield Credit Has Widened Some / Good Breadth A Positive

March 30, 2025 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

You’d never know it looking at the sentiment data, but the SPY (SP 500 ETF) is down just -4.91% YTD.…

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Posted in: Bespoke, High-Yield Credit, Market breadth

Nike Earnings Summary: It’s Going to Be a Slow Turn as Inventory Continues to be Liquidated

March 25, 2025 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

In this blog’s Nike earnings preview posted for readers earlier last week, it was noted that CFO Matt Friend’s guidance…

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Posted in: NKE

SP 500 Earnings Update: Hard to Exaggerate the Strength of Q4 ’24 SP 500 Earnings

March 22, 2025 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

While we wrap up Q4 ’24 SP 500 earnings in the next trading days, it truly is hard to exaggerate…

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Posted in: Credit spreads, Weekly Earnings Update

SP 500 Earnings: Long-Term SP 500 Earnings Trends along with Market Returns

March 17, 2025 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Over the years, one data point I’ve noticed is that many SP 500 valuation models use a long-run SP 500…

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Posted in: SP 500 long-term returns

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Fundamentalis

  • Expecting Modest, but Still Likely Positive Return, for the SP 500 in 2026
  • Gold Breaks a 40-year Correlation. Does This Signal a Problem for SP 500 Forward Returns ?
  • The 2025 Estimated SP 500 EPS Growth Rate has Improved from +9% in July, ’25 to +14% on Dec 12 ’25
  • Nike Earnings Preview: Expect a Better Quarter, But Elliott’s Still Running a Marathon with a Piano on His Back
  • Fed Funds Cut Coming Wednesday, December 10th / Longer-Maturity Move Likely to Happen w Fed Chair Change

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