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Thoughts on 2019 – Investor Pessimism and the Potential for PE Expansion

December 29, 2018 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Take any forecast or expected return discussion for 2019 with a substantial grain of salt. In 2017, this blog’s forecast…

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Posted in: Bond Market(s), SP 500 forecast(s)

Last SP 500 Earnings Update of 2018 – Street Consensus Estimates are Slow to Change

Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

https://lipperalpha.financial.thomsonreuters.com/2018/12/earnings-roundup-will-analysts-drop-2019-earnings-estimates/ The attached is a an article from Refinitiv’s (the old Thomson Reuters Financial’s) David Aurelio on Q4 ’18 SP…

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Posted in: Weekly Earnings Update

The Chart

December 26, 2018 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

  2011 was the last year the SP 500 has seen the 50-month moving average. Here was last night’s post…

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Posted in: Technical Analysis

SP 500 Has Now Corrected 20%, Slightly Worse than 2011’s Drawdown

December 25, 2018 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

The SP 500 has how corrected 20% peak-to-trough in less than 90 days, and is now roughly the same severity…

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Posted in: SP 500 corrections

SP 500 Earnings Update: SP 500 Appears Dramatically Oversold

December 22, 2018 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

SP 500 earnings data: (Fwd estimate from IBES by Refinitiv) Fwd 4-qtr est: $169.58 vs last week’s $170.53 PE ratio: 14.25x…

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Posted in: Weekly Earnings Update

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Fundamentalis

  • International and Emerging Markets Starting to Percolate: 10 and 15 yr Annual Returns Still Modest
  • SP 500 Earnings: Financials Start Q2 ’25 Earnings With a Bang; Expect Another Solid Quarter for SP 500 Earnings
  • Schwab Earnings Preview: Cheap on a PEG Basis, Can Schwab Break-out of this 3-year Consolidation?
  • Netflix Earnings Preview: Margin Guidance Continues to be Revised Higher
  • Financials Report This Week: Citi and JPMorgan Kick-Off the Big Banks Tuesday Morning

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