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Author: Brian Gilmartin

SP 500 Earnings: IBM Tests it’s 2013 All-Time-High; FOMC Release Wednesday; FedEx Reports This Week

September 13, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

You have to pull up the monthly chart of IBM to see the series of all-time-highs put in place in…

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Posted in: FDX, FedEx (FDX), IBM, Weekly Earnings Update

2019 Bond Asset Class Returns in the Last “Normal” Easing Cycle

September 11, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

2019 was the last year investors saw what could be called “normal” easing cycle driven by macroeconomic growth concerns and…

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Posted in: 2019 Bond Asset Class Returns, 2019 Sector performance, Corporate High Yield, Corporate HighGrade Bonds, High-Yield Credit

August CPI, High-Yield Credit, and Back to the Yen Carry Trade

September 8, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Here’s the coming week’s detail on US economic releases, per Briefing.com calendar: The August CPI report is due Wednesday, September…

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Posted in: Corporate High Yield, Corporate HighGrade Bonds, CPI / PPI, CPI Services ex-Shelter, Credit markets, Ed Yardeni, Yen

SP 500 Earnings: Forward SP 500 Estimates Have Increased Sequentially 4 Weeks in a Row

September 7, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

First, a couple of good charts from Morningstar the last few days on market attribution, as well as a style-box…

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Posted in: mu, ORCL, Style analysis, Weekly Earnings Update

Stay with International Investing (Although It’s Been a Tough Long)

September 4, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

It’s a crude summary using an Excel spreadsheet, but this blog has been tracking the annual returns of the international…

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Posted in: EEM, Emerging Markets, EMXC, International (Non-US), VWO)

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Fundamentalis

  • Style-Box Update: Small-Cap Value Outperforming Small-Cap Growth – Hasn’t Happened since 2022
  • A Quick Look at Q4 ’25 EPS and Revenue for SP 500: Tech Sector EPS Grew 30.9% in Q3 ’25
  • Expecting Modest, but Still Likely Positive Return, for the SP 500 in 2026
  • Gold Breaks a 40-year Correlation. Does This Signal a Problem for SP 500 Forward Returns ?
  • The 2025 Estimated SP 500 EPS Growth Rate has Improved from +9% in July, ’25 to +14% on Dec 12 ’25

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