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Author: Brian Gilmartin

SP 500 Earnings: First Sequential Improvement in Fwd 4-Qtr Estimate Since January ’20

June 12, 2020 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

The “forward 4-quarter” SP 500 estimate this week came in at $128.45 versus $128.32 from last week, for the first…

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Posted in: Forward SP 500 earnings curve, SP 500 forward estimate rate of change, Weekly Earnings Update

SP 500 Rally is Scary but Pattern Portends Positively / Morningstar Had the Covid-19 Call Right

June 7, 2020 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

This chart is checked every 3 – 6 months. The “average, annual” return on the SP 500 from 1/1/200 is…

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Posted in: Corporate High Yield, Credit markets, GS, Morningstar data, UUP

SP 500 Earnings Update: 2021 SP 500 EPS Still Above 2019

June 5, 2020 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

So far anyway, although there is another 4 weeks until Q2 ’20 earnings start, here is how 2019 – 2021…

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Posted in: SP 500 estimate revision data, Weekly Earnings Update

Q3 and Q4 ’20 SP 500 EPS and Revenue Expectations – Look Beyond This Quarter

June 3, 2020 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

  Thanks to David Aurelio and TJ Dhillon at IBES for providing the above data for the trend-watching in y/y…

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Posted in: SP 500 estimate revision data, SP 500 Revenue Growth

Style-Box Update, Small-Cap and High-Yield, and Sector Returns

May 31, 2020 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

  Nothing has really changed yet in terms of “style-box” returns with Growth outpacing Value and Large-Cap beating Small-Cap. Late…

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Posted in: High-Yield Credit, HYG, Style analysis

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