Energy is now just 4.5% of the SP 500 market cap weight, down from a high of 15% in September, 2014, when crude oil was trading around $80 – $100 per barrel and just before the commodity tanked to $28 … Continued
Last week, the 2020 expected growth rates by sector were noted on the blog here. This week, what has caught my eye again, is that during a period when there is typically a slow erosion of forward estimates downward, the … Continued
It might be hardly worth mentioning but looking at the data every week, it’s important to distinguish sentiment from reality and for the Energy and Tech sectors there has been a little bit of softening in Q2 and Q3 ’18’s … Continued
Because of the diminished long-terms returns-on-invested-capital and the inability for many commodity companies to build what Mr. Buffett and Morningstar call the “sustainable moat”, clients have never owned substantial positions in commodity companies for longer periods of time. Yes, Alcoa … Continued
It always fascinates me to see changes in the SP 500 earnings and revenue data and how it correlates to the actual index or market action. Was 2017’s 21.8% SP 500 index return discounting the 2018 “expected” EPS growth of … Continued
Every so often, readers are updated on the SP 500’s sector rankings in terms of market cap weight and earnings weight. What surprised me more than Tech’s 25% weighting currently (versus its all-time-high of 33% weighting in March, 2000) … Continued
While Energy is still lapping the very easy compares from 2016, the Financial sector is a big drag on Q3 ’17 earnings, with the key group showing earnings declines of -7.3% for Q3 ’17. Ex-Energy and Ex-Financials, the SP 500 … Continued
2019 est: +10% 2018 est: +12% 2017 est: +11% 2016: +1% 2015: -1% 2014: +8% 2013: +6% 2012 +6% 2011:+15% 2010 +40% This blog may be out with a few sector updates over the weekend (or maybe not) but tonight’s … Continued
To cut to the chase, here is the chronological progression of the SP 500’s forward growth rate: 5/5/17: +9.8% 4/28/17: +8.2% 4/21/17: +8.3% 4/14/17: +8.3% 4/7/17: +8.3% 3/31/17: +6.06% 3/24/17: +8.96% To be frank with readers, I’m surprised at the … Continued
In two words, SP 500 forward earnings look “pretty good”. Per Thomson Reuters “This Week in Earnings” Q1 ’17 SP 500 earnings have grown +13.6%, but against an easy compare from Q1 ’16, with 288 SP 500 companies having reported … Continued