Seasonally, the SP 500 is entering one it’s strongest periods of the calendar year. The SPY’s YTD total return as of Friday, 10/19/18, was about 5%, while the XLF and KRE ETF’s returned -3% and -6% respectively, YTD. Client’s largest … Continued
One of the classic years we saw “PE compression” was 1994, when Alan Greenspan really caught the Street and the investment community off guard, and raised the fed funds rate 6 times that year, after a surprisingly-strong Q4 ’93 GDP … Continued
The US economy, as well as global GDP growth is accelerating off a slow, post-2008 below-average pace; SP 500 earnings are expected at 10% in 2017 and 11% in 2018, the best year(s) of growth since 2011; Sentiment is starting … Continued
Here was the latest “cash repatriation” math for large-cap Tech in the event of major tax reform passing, and with the Senate passing a bill late Friday night, the probability of real reform becoming law is greatly improved. Capital gains … Continued
Reading a good blog this Monday night, it was somewhat surprising to read that this blog author was worried about the flattening yield curve and was avoiding the Financial sector. His reasons were solid, but I think that easier regulation … Continued
When looking at portfolio performance as of August 31, Microsoft, client’s largest holding performed pretty well in the month of August, +3.5%, and year-to-date was up over 21%, versus the SP 500’s +10.5%. Then we get to client’s #2 holding, … Continued
Since probably late November, ’16, there has been a plethora of pundits appearing in the mainstream financial media, telling investors to wait for a pullback before buying the Financial sector. However, like the “treading of water” the SP 500 did … Continued
Updating this article from the last week of December, 2016 and this article from early, 2017, here is an update to the three favored sectors as Q4 ’16 earnings season began: FC – sectorupwardrev122516 (The spreadsheet is dated 12/25/16, but the … Continued
“The great advantage of having a reputation for being stupid: People are less suspicious of you.” Tom’s character from “4 Weddings and a Funeral” ————————————————————– One of the groups we’ve avoided for clients the last few years, has been … Continued
Leon Cooperman phoned in to CNBC’s Halftime “Fast Money” show about 3-4 weeks ago, and the one comment that stuck with me was “This isn’t my Father’s stock market”. It was a telling comment from one of the Street’s great … Continued