As long as the SP 500 stays above last week’s low of 2,855, and the 10-year Treasury yield remains above 1.45% – 1.46%, it is probable that the SP 500 has a fighting chance to have a positive October return … Continued
The Bespoke Report is – in my opinion – one of the best weekly summaries of market-related, and econ-related and investment-related topics on the Street. Bespoke, founded by Paul Hickey and his team years ago, came out of Laszlo Birinyi’s … Continued
FC-eps estimate revisions With the big banks reporting this week, and a slew of SP 500 components reporting next week, the one data metric tracked each week is the “upward vs downward” estimate revisions within the SP 500. The above … Continued
While big banks kick off the Q3 ’17 earnings season this week, readers can get a leg up by looking at Q4 ’17 estimates and seeing which sectors have seen the highest earnings revisions since July 1, ’17. Per Thomson … Continued
A couple of corrections for readers: Q3 ’16 Sp 500 earnings are up +3%, and NOT +3.6% as was detailed in yesterday’s headline; In the October 2nd blog post linked yesterday, this sentence, “If we add or average the Thomson … Continued
While we won’t start to hear most of the energy sector results until the last week of October ’16, Schlumberger (SLB) and Halliburton (HAL) report the week after next. Exxon (XOM) and Chevron (CVX) both report October 28th, 2016 or … Continued
Here is what Thomson Reuters and Factset are expecting for Q3 ’16 SP 500 earnings growth as of September 30 ’16: Thomson: -0.5% Factset: -2.1% Per Factset, this could be the 6th straight quarter of negative earnings growth for the … Continued
Let’s take a quick look at revisions within the SP 500. fc-eps-estimate-revisions Hopefully this spreadsheet, which has been updated weekly for years, is helpful to readers. Note how just within the last week, 412 of the SP 500 companies have … Continued
Occasionally it helps to take a step back and look at the annual SP 500 earnings data: 2017: $134.26 – (est) 14% SP 500 earnings growth expected next year 2016: $117.94 – est. Another year of 0% – 1% growth … Continued
Is there a forward earnings curve for the SP 500 ? Id say “yes” although readers need to be careful in the kind of earnings data they review when making investment decisions. There is “bottom-up” data which constitutes the quarterly … Continued