Seasonally, the SP 500 is entering one it’s strongest periods of the calendar year. The SPY’s YTD total return as of Friday, 10/19/18, was about 5%, while the XLF and KRE ETF’s returned -3% and -6% respectively, YTD. Client’s largest … Continued
The Financial sector is one of client’s overweights and it’s lagged the SP 500 badly all year. Up just 2% YTD, versus the roughly 8% total return for the SP 500, banks and brokers have been pretty punk, with the … Continued
One of the classic years we saw “PE compression” was 1994, when Alan Greenspan really caught the Street and the investment community off guard, and raised the fed funds rate 6 times that year, after a surprisingly-strong Q4 ’93 GDP … Continued
Every 6 weeks the goal is to give readers an update into the various “style box” strategies (large-cap, mid-cap, small-cap, value, growth, etc.) and year-to-date as of Friday, February 16th, 2018, 2018 has started just where 2017 left off … Continued
Here was the latest “cash repatriation” math for large-cap Tech in the event of major tax reform passing, and with the Senate passing a bill late Friday night, the probability of real reform becoming law is greatly improved. Capital gains … Continued
Reading a good blog this Monday night, it was somewhat surprising to read that this blog author was worried about the flattening yield curve and was avoiding the Financial sector. His reasons were solid, but I think that easier regulation … Continued
There has been little mystery to what has worked this year, with the Technology sector within the SP 500 up over 30% on the year and large-cap growth returning in the low 20% range, YTD. This year, not so unusually, … Continued
Two items read this week, were a little worrisome: 1.) Liz Ann Sonders, Schwab’s great strategist, posted this to Twitter on Thursday: During most of this secular bull market, sentiment has been a mixed bag with the AAII data … Continued
When looking at portfolio performance as of August 31, Microsoft, client’s largest holding performed pretty well in the month of August, +3.5%, and year-to-date was up over 21%, versus the SP 500’s +10.5%. Then we get to client’s #2 holding, … Continued
As this blog post is being written on Wednesday afternoon, May 31 ’17, the Financial sector has given up all of its gains for 2017, and has under-performed the SP 500 by nearly 650 – 700 bp’s year-to-date. Charles Schwab … Continued