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Category: SP 500 Earnings Yield

SP 500 Earnings: SP 500 Earnings Yield Drops to 5.1%

June 18, 2023 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Under 5% and the SP 500 earnings yield (EY) tells us the equity market is too stretched. The EY is not…

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Posted in: SP 500 Earnings Yield, Taxable High Yield, Weekly Earnings Update

SP 500 Earnings: SP 500 Earnings Yield Supports Technically Overbought Market

June 11, 2023 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Overbought market:  Technically the SP 500 is now in “extreme overbought” range per this weekend’s Bespoke chart. SP 500 Earnings…

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Posted in: CPI / PPI, mu, ORCL, SP 500 Earnings Yield, Weekly Earnings Update

SP 500 Earnings: Fed Funds Rate Hike Probability for June, Jumps Sharply

May 26, 2023 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

It will be interesting to see how much of the recent move in Treasury yields is a default premium being…

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Posted in: CME fed funds futures, SP 500 Earnings Yield, Weekly Earnings Update

Are Cracks Starting to Appear ? Midterm election years, Energy, SP 500 Earnings Yield (and more)…

October 16, 2022 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Yellen on Treasury market illiquidity: It’s interesting that Janet Yellen raised the specter of buying Treasuries this past week, without…

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Posted in: 1994, 60/40 portfolio, FB, Meta, SP 500 Earnings Yield, Tesla

SP 500 Earnings Update: SP 500’s Earnings Yield Hits a 2022 High

September 30, 2022 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Because Nike (NKE) and Micron (MU) reported Thursday, September 29th, after the market close, those companies and the subsequent earnings…

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Posted in: SP 500 Earnings Yield, Top 10 Earnings weights, Top 10 Market Cap Weights, Weekly Earnings Update

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Fundamentalis

  • Expecting Modest, but Still Likely Positive Return, for the SP 500 in 2026
  • Gold Breaks a 40-year Correlation. Does This Signal a Problem for SP 500 Forward Returns ?
  • The 2025 Estimated SP 500 EPS Growth Rate has Improved from +9% in July, ’25 to +14% on Dec 12 ’25
  • Nike Earnings Preview: Expect a Better Quarter, But Elliott’s Still Running a Marathon with a Piano on His Back
  • Fed Funds Cut Coming Wednesday, December 10th / Longer-Maturity Move Likely to Happen w Fed Chair Change

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