Last week, the 2020 expected growth rates by sector were noted on the blog here. This week, what has caught my eye again, is that during a period when there is typically a slow erosion of forward estimates downward, the … Continued
Because of the diminished long-terms returns-on-invested-capital and the inability for many commodity companies to build what Mr. Buffett and Morningstar call the “sustainable moat”, clients have never owned substantial positions in commodity companies for longer periods of time. Yes, Alcoa … Continued
Having never owned the Emerging Markets (EM’s) in any form or fashion in the 1990’s and then staying out of the asset class between 2001 – 2007 given all the money that flowed into the asset class after Technology collapsed, … Continued
With Schlumberger’s (SLB) report Friday morning, the Energy sector weighting was reduced by selling the OIH. Despite very easy compare’s to Q1 ’16’s $28 – $30 crude oil nadir, there was very little “upside surprise” to the report and forward … Continued
In 2016, Technology didn’t do very well with the Nasdaq up 6% – 7% when looking at the full-year returns of the Nasdaq Comp and the Nasdaq 100, as the SP 500 rose 11.9% last year and the Russell rose … Continued
Updating this article from the last week of December, 2016 and this article from early, 2017, here is an update to the three favored sectors as Q4 ’16 earnings season began: FC – sectorupwardrev122516 (The spreadsheet is dated 12/25/16, but the … Continued
It was one year ago almost exactly the SP 500 was in the midst of a powerful rally, after the China yuan devaluation, that started late July, 2015. The rally started on “nonfarm payroll Friday” in early October ’15, with … Continued
Back in the Spring of 1980, when I was taking my first Money & Banking class, the Fed Funds rate was gyrating from 14% to 20% to 8.5% all in a period of about 6 months, under Paul Volcker’s supervision. … Continued
Outside month ? See SeeItMarket here. (Read the last half of page 2 – June 30th – to cut to the chase.) Outside Year ? See Josh Brown via SeeItMarket here. Both of these articles are pretty bullish. The point … Continued
With just one week left in the 2nd quarter, 2016, basically all 500 of the SP 500 components have now reported Q1 ’16 earnings. In the next two weeks, we get the quarterly increase in the “forward 4-quarter” SP 500 … Continued