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Insightful market commentary from a fresh perspective.
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10% SP 500 return in 2016 Shouldn’t Be A Surprise

December 19, 2015 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Per Bespoke, bullish sentiment is at a 3-year low (according to Bespoke’s sentiment work published late this week), and with…

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Posted in: EEM, Emerging Markets, Energy sector, Financial sector, Financials, Forecasts, Technology, US Dollar

SP 500 Earnings Yield / Fed Model / FOMC Meeting / Year-end Rally

December 12, 2015 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

“Fed Model” fans are familiar with the SP 500 earnings yield, since it is the Fed Model calculation that subtracts…

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Posted in: FDX, Fed Model, ORCL, SP 500 Earnings Yield, Treasuries, Weekly Earnings Update

An Eye-Opening Chart on Commodity Performance and a Look At Basic Materials 2016 Earnings Estimates

December 9, 2015 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Stocks Versus Commodities The above link is a chart from “This Week on Wall Street”, a blog run by Doug…

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Posted in: Basic Materials, Commodities

A Look at 2016: Let’s Check on the Financial and Energy Sectors

December 5, 2015 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

With companies holding their annual investor days throughout December, the earnings estimates will start to take shape for full-year 2016,…

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Posted in: Energy sector, Financial sector, Financials, Home Depot (HD), LEN, TOL, UTX

Weekly Earnings Update; Q4 ’15 SP 500 Earnings Still Reflecting Energy and Basic Materials Drag

Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Factset had the most cogent metric this week, with their weekly “Earnings Insight” by John Butters noting that, thanks to…

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Posted in: Energy sector, Weekly Earnings Update

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Fundamentalis

  • Style-Box Update: Growth Still Leading Value Across Market-Caps: Zeroing in on Mid-Caps
  • SP 500 Earnings Update: The 10-year-and-Under Treasury Maturities Are Now All Below the Fed Funds Rate
  • No Question, the Monetary Policy (Interest Rate) Narrative Has Changed (For the Better)
  • Nike Earnings Preview: Some Improvement is Expected; The 7% Free-Cash-Flow Yield Helps
  • SP 500 Earnings Update: Q2 ’25 Earnings Should be Ok; The Attention Turns to Q3 ’25 Guidance

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