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Category: Forecasts

Thinking about Asset Allocation in 2017

December 31, 2016 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

“With all thy getting, get understanding” (Proverbs 4:7) My first job real job in the investment business was as a…

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Posted in: 2017, 2017 Fiscal Policy, Energy ETF's (XLE, Energy sector, Financial sector, Financials, Forecasts, HYG, Technology, The Fed, Treasuries

2017 Forecast: Looking for 20% from SP 500 in Calendar 2017

December 17, 2016 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Here was the 2016 forecast, calling for 10% and while it looked pretty remote the first 2 months of 2016,…

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Posted in: 2017, 2017 Fiscal Policy, Forecasts, SP 500 forecast(s)

10% SP 500 return in 2016 Shouldn’t Be A Surprise

December 19, 2015 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Per Bespoke, bullish sentiment is at a 3-year low (according to Bespoke’s sentiment work published late this week), and with…

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Posted in: EEM, Emerging Markets, Energy sector, Financial sector, Financials, Forecasts, Technology, US Dollar

Fundamentalis

  • Technology Sector: Looking at the Last 5 Quarters “Upside Surprise” Factor
  • SP 500 Earnings: Nothing Much This Week, but Don’t Ignore Non-Correlated
  • Style-Box Update: Growth Still Leading Value Across Market-Caps: Zeroing in on Mid-Caps
  • SP 500 Earnings Update: The 10-year-and-Under Treasury Maturities Are Now All Below the Fed Funds Rate
  • No Question, the Monetary Policy (Interest Rate) Narrative Has Changed (For the Better)

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