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Insightful market commentary from a fresh perspective.
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One amazing metric…

March 3, 2017 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Bullish Sentiment Lower: What Else is New? The one still amazing metric about this bull market in the SP 500…

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Posted in: stock market sentiment

President’s SOTU Address: Watch the Treasury Market / Interest rates for Growth Tell

February 28, 2017 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Tonight, the President gives his State of the Union (SOTU) address, his first as President of the United States, and…

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Posted in: 2017, 2017 Fiscal Policy

Financial Sector Estimate Revisions Still Show Favorable Trends

February 27, 2017 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Since probably late November, ’16, there has been a plethora of pundits appearing in the mainstream financial media, telling investors…

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Posted in: Earnings estimate revisions, Financial sector, Financials, GS, Inc. (BRK-B), JPM, SCHW, Sector Earnings Growth Estimates

SP 500 Weekly Earnings Update: Forward “Expected” Growth Rate Reaches 8.41%, Highest Since October 24. 2014

February 24, 2017 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

At a CFA Chicago lunch about a week ago, Charlie Evans, Head Fed-head at the Chicago Federal Reserve here in…

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Posted in: Fwd 4-qtr growth rate (SP 500), TBF - inverse Treasury, Treasuries, Weekly Earnings Update

How Good is the SP 500 “Fwd 4-Quarter Estimate” at Predicting the Year-End Actual Estimate ?

February 20, 2017 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Reader “dmarilley” over on Seeking Alpha asked a good question about a month ago, but it has taken me some…

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Posted in: 2017, 2017 Fiscal Policy, Forward SP 500 earnings curve, Fwd 4-qtr growth rate (SP 500)

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Fundamentalis

  • Yield Curve Steepened Last Week, While the US Equity Indices Became Very Overbought
  • SP 500 Earnings: 2026 Expected SP 500 EPS Hasn’t Wavered Much from Expected 14% Growth Rate
  • SP 500 Earnings: Continued Upward Pressure on Forward SP 500 Estimates
  • Bond / Fixed-Income Returns Having a Good Year (so far) in 2025
  • SP 500 Earnings: SP 500 EPS Growth for 2025 Has Risen from 8% to 10% since Late June

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