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Insightful market commentary from a fresh perspective.
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What’s the True Inflation Rate ?

May 23, 2022 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Bespoke put up a couple of good charts today showing TIPS breakevens beginning to fall and the 5-year breakeven with…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, 60/40 portfolio, inflation

SP 500 Earnings Update: Earnings Yield Above 6% for First Time since March, 2020

May 20, 2022 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

This graph gets tossed out to readers occasionally just to show the crowd the “net income” gains as recorded by…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, Industrial sector, Industrials, Weekly Earnings Update

Style-Box Analysis Update: No Surprise, Value Continues to Outperform

May 15, 2022 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

In what is a highly unusual start to 2022, every single bond and stock asset class has negative returns for…

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Posted in: Growth v Value, QQQ, Style analysis

SP 500 Earnings Update: SP 500 PE now 17x, Earnings Yield at 5.85% and Forward Estimates Rise Again

May 14, 2022 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

The true dichotomy in 2022’s stock market is that SP 500 forward estimates continue to be revised higher, while the…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, SP 500 Earnings Yield, US Dollar, UUP, Weekly Earnings Update

SP 500 Earnings Update: Bond Market Woes, and Forward Earnings Weakened a Little This Week

May 7, 2022 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

As of 5/6/22: SPY YTD return: -13.13% Barclay’s Aggregate (AGG) YTD return: -10.42% Standard 60%/40% benchmark portfolio return: -12.05% Despite…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, Bond Market(s), Commodities, Consumer Discretionary, Energy ETF's (XLE, Energy sector, Weekly Earnings Update

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Fundamentalis

  • SP 500 Earnings: SP 500 Earnings Yield Jumps Over 5%, Sold the EMXC
  • JPMorgan, Citigroup, and Bank of America Earnings Previews: Eventually a Return to More Normal Growth
  • Market Breadth Perspective and Avoid Nike After the Guidedown
  • 10-year Treasury Note Greatly Oversold on Eve of September Nonfarm Payroll Report
  • Key Economic Data This Week and the Treasury 10-Year Yield Bias Still Higher

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