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Insightful market commentary from a fresh perspective.
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Month: July 2020

Maybe Tech Won’t Crash, But Perhaps Market Leadership Changes

July 14, 2020 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Great post by Gary Morrow (@garysmorrow) on the positive outside day day in the Dow 30 today, versus the downside…

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Posted in: CAT

Technology Sector Suffers It’s First Crisis of Doubt

July 13, 2020 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Jeff Miller published a timely article over at www.dashofinsight.com this weekend. Jeff wondered aloud if it was time to do…

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Posted in: LongTerm Capital Management, Technology

Big Banks Kick Off Q2 ’20 SP 500 Earnings This Week

July 12, 2020 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

It was tempting to ask in the headline whether readers were looking for the “over” or “under” on Q2 ’20…

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Posted in: Financial sector, GS, JPM, SCHW, Top 10 Client Holdings

SP 500 Weekly Earnings Update: The Bigger Changes Will Probably Come After Next Week

July 10, 2020 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Big week for Financial stocks nect week, so if there are changes to come in forward SP 500  earnings estimates,…

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Posted in: Forward SP 500 earnings curve, Weekly Earnings Update

Planning Ahead for a “March, 2000” Moment and Top 10 Holdings as of June 30 ’20

July 8, 2020 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

As the mainstream business media like CNBC and Bloomberg keep pointing out, the similarities to today’s SP 500 and the…

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Posted in: 2000, Big Tech Cash-flow Valuation, Technology, Top 10 Client Holdings

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Fundamentalis

  • Yield Curve Steepened Last Week, While the US Equity Indices Became Very Overbought
  • SP 500 Earnings: 2026 Expected SP 500 EPS Hasn’t Wavered Much from Expected 14% Growth Rate
  • SP 500 Earnings: Continued Upward Pressure on Forward SP 500 Estimates
  • Bond / Fixed-Income Returns Having a Good Year (so far) in 2025
  • SP 500 Earnings: SP 500 EPS Growth for 2025 Has Risen from 8% to 10% since Late June

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