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Month: February 2017

Brazil and Emerging Markets – Muy Bueno

February 15, 2017 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

In 2016, Technology didn’t do very well with the Nasdaq up 6% – 7% when looking at the full-year returns…

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Posted in: Brazil (EWZ), Commodities, EEM, Emerging Market ETF's (EEM, Emerging Markets, VWO)

SP 500 Weekly Earnings Update: Tech and Growth are leading in ’17

February 11, 2017 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S data (by the numbers): Forward 4-quarter estimate: $131.50 vs last week’s $131.95 P.E ratio:17.6(x) PEG ratio: 2.24(x)…

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Posted in: Style analysis, Technology, Weekly Earnings Update

SP 500 Earnings Yield: A little Fed Model History

Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Way back in late, 1999, and early 2000, the SP 500 earnings yield on the SP 500 was roughly 3.3%,…

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Posted in: Fed Model, SP 500 Earnings Yield

Tax reform and the Border Tax – A Quick Primer on SP 500 Earnings Impact

February 9, 2017 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

One of the risks with the time it takes to push through what might be the biggest change to the…

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Posted in: 2017, 2017 Fiscal Policy, Treasuries, US Dollar

SP 500 Valuation: Seems Reasonable Presently and Walking Up SP 500 Earnings Growth

February 8, 2017 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Seth Klarman, a well-known value investor in a recent letter to clients, talked about “perilously high valuations”. In addition, we…

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Posted in: 2017 Fiscal Policy, Amazon, SP 500 Valuation

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Fundamentalis

  • Style-Box Update: Small-Cap Value Outperforming Small-Cap Growth – Hasn’t Happened since 2022
  • A Quick Look at Q4 ’25 EPS and Revenue for SP 500: Tech Sector EPS Grew 30.9% in Q3 ’25
  • Expecting Modest, but Still Likely Positive Return, for the SP 500 in 2026
  • Gold Breaks a 40-year Correlation. Does This Signal a Problem for SP 500 Forward Returns ?
  • The 2025 Estimated SP 500 EPS Growth Rate has Improved from +9% in July, ’25 to +14% on Dec 12 ’25

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