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Category: SP 500 Historical Framework

Aiming for 4th Year in a Row of Double-Digit SP 500 Returns: Buyer Beware

December 1, 2025 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Listening to these firms announce their SP 500 price targets for 2026, it’s easy to draw the conclusion that the…

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Posted in: SP 500 forecast(s), SP 500 Historical Framework, SP 500 long-term returns

The Odds of a 50% Stock Market Correction

February 9, 2022 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

In a few words, the probabilities are likely pretty low. My own opinion was that we (meaning readers, investors and…

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Posted in: SP 500 corrections, SP 500 Historical Framework

Check this Sentiment Chart

July 16, 2019 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Bernie Schaeffer’s – Schaeffer’s Investment Research – “Despondent Survey” is at an interesting level:   From talking to clients and…

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Posted in: 2008 Financial Crisis, SP 500 Historical Framework, stock market sentiment

Since 1970, In Years When the SP 500 Returned 20%, What (Usually) Happened Next ?

December 11, 2017 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Morningstar’s Stock, Bond, Bills & Inflation has some interesting long-term capital market information, much of it from Morningstar’s acquisition of…

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Posted in: 2018, SP 500 Historical Framework

A Bigger Picture Look at Today’s Stock Market, From an Historical Perspective

September 5, 2016 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Back in the Spring of 1980, when I was taking my first Money & Banking class, the Fed Funds rate…

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Posted in: Apple (AAPL), Commodities, Emerging Market ETF's (EEM, Emerging Markets, SP 500 Historical Framework, Technology, TNX, US Dollar

Fundamentalis

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  • Fed Funds Cut Coming Wednesday, December 10th / Longer-Maturity Move Likely to Happen w Fed Chair Change
  • Probability Grows for Below-Average Returns in 2026
  • SP 500 Earnings: Forward SP 500 Estimates Still Rising – Oracle Reports This Week

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