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Author: Brian Gilmartin

The Treasury Yield Curve Has to Normalize – Eventually

June 1, 2023 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Thinking about the Treasury yield curve the night before the May ’23 nonfarm payroll report, eventually the Treasury yield curve…

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Posted in: Corporate High Yield, Corporate HighGrade Bonds, Municipal Bond market, Treasuries, Treasury Yield Curve

Tech Overheating and a Tough May ’23 for Treasuries

May 30, 2023 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

May ’23 still has 2 days remaining but here’s the basis point change in Treasuries (as of Friday, May 26)…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, Technology, Treasuries

SP 500 Earnings: Fed Funds Rate Hike Probability for June, Jumps Sharply

May 26, 2023 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

It will be interesting to see how much of the recent move in Treasury yields is a default premium being…

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Posted in: CME fed funds futures, SP 500 Earnings Yield, Weekly Earnings Update

SP 500 Earnings: Sharp Jump in Treasury Yields / Nvidia and April PCE data This Coming Week

May 20, 2023 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

With mega-cap tech / growth up 25.95% this year (Vanguard mega-cap growth ETF, MGK), the semiconductor group is being pulled…

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Posted in: Costco (COST), Treasuries, Weekly Earnings Update

Style-Box Update: 5/15/23 – Growth Resumes Outperformance / Don’t Forget Non-US / Russell 2000

May 16, 2023 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

The above spreadsheet shows the relative performance of the various US equity market asset classes, starting with large-cap growth and…

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Posted in: International (Non-US), IWM, Russell 2000, Style analysis

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