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Author: Brian Gilmartin

Bond and International Returns YTD Still Not Much to Crow About

December 3, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

1-year annual returns for a number of the bond market asset classes slid lower in November ’24, thanks primarily to…

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Posted in: 60/40 portfolio, AGG, International (Non-US)

Intel Rehashed: What Went Wrong ? Maybe the Better Question is, “What Didn’t ?

December 2, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

The announcement that Pat Gelsinger “retired” on December 1st, 2024 came as a surprise this morning, and at first the…

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Posted in: INTC

Trump ’16-’17 vs. Trump’24 -’25: The Stock Market “Math” Still Looks Tough

December 1, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Barrons (www.barrons.com) had a good article (subscription may be required) on the prospects for 2025 stock market returns this weekend,…

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Posted in: 2025 expected stock and bond market returns

SP 500 Earnings Update: Big Week for Labor Market Data / Treasuries Rallied Sharply Last week

November 30, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

The following table from Briefing.com lists the scheduled economic data releases for December 2nd through December 6th, and like the…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, Labor Market Data, Monthly payroll report

SP 500 Earnings Data Won’t Call a Market Top

November 24, 2024 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Having written a weekend blog post on trends in SP 500 earnings data for the last 20 years, it’s important…

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Posted in: Weekly Earnings Update

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Fundamentalis

  • Bond Markets Getting Oversold; Fed Funds Futures Indicate the FOMC Will Stand Pat on Wednesday, July 29th
  • SP 500 Earnings: SP Earnings Yield now 5%; A Quick Take on Google’s Earnings Report
  • Alphabet Earnings Preview: The Big Metrics: Free-Cash-Flow and Capex Guidance
  • IBM Earnings Preview: A Maddening Long Since the Late ’24 Breakout
  • JPMorgan, CitiBank Earnings Previews: Share Repurchases and Capital Return Are Probably Under-Appreciated

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