The Chart

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2011 was the last year the SP 500 has seen the 50-month moving average. Here was last night’s post comparing this current correction with the 2011 and 2015 – 2016 drawdowns.

Kinda ugly this quarter and looking at the stochastics, the SP 500 is at the same level as 2015 – 2016.

Fundamentally, we must see a slew of earnings pre-announcements after the first of the year, or the SP 500 remains pretty reasonably valued. The pressure on the forward 4-quarter SP 500 earnings estimate is not out of the ordinary (yet).

Thanks for reading.

 

 

 

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