This spreadsheet was posted to this blog in mid-May ’18 as well as late March and mid-February earlier this year to give readers an idea of how full-year 2018 expected growth has tracked by sector. A couple of points: … Continued
FC-eps estimate revisions The above spreadsheet is a far bigger data field than needs to be posted, but if you wish to take a look at SP 500 EPS estimate revisions since the 2009 market low, here is the spreadsheet … Continued
(This blog’s RSS feed is going away or has gone away so please resubscribe at www.fundamentalis,com if you haven’t already. There is no cost to subscribe to the blog. ) Not much difference in the numbers so far this … Continued
It always fascinates me to see changes in the SP 500 earnings and revenue data and how it correlates to the actual index or market action. Was 2017’s 21.8% SP 500 index return discounting the 2018 “expected” EPS growth of … Continued
The goal of the above table is to give readers some idea of how the SP 500’s EPS estimates have changed the last few months. The week of 12/22/2017 was the Friday the President signed the 2017 tax reform … Continued
Listening to the financial media every day, and watching the stock and bond markets trade, there is always an “immediacy” to the news, and it tends to be binary: either great wealth is being created daily and you are “missing … Continued
https://data.bls.gov/timeseries/LNU04000000?periods=Annual+Data&periods_option=specific_periods&years_option=all_years The above link is a data set from the BLS for post World War II unemployment rates, and with the US economy currently sitting at 4.1% unemployment the night before the December ’17 non-farm payroll and unemployment data are … Continued
The US economy, as well as global GDP growth is accelerating off a slow, post-2008 below-average pace; SP 500 earnings are expected at 10% in 2017 and 11% in 2018, the best year(s) of growth since 2011; Sentiment is starting … Continued
Leaning bearish into 2018, these numbers were somewhat surprising: 1.) Revisions for next year have been positive for both year-over-year SP 500 EPS AND SP 500 revenue growth. 2.) The 11% expected SP 500 earnings growth for 2018 has been … Continued
Morningstar’s Stock, Bond, Bills & Inflation has some interesting long-term capital market information, much of it from Morningstar’s acquisition of Ibbotson & Associates in 2005. Looking at the annual returns of the SP 500 since 1970, and including the period … Continued