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Month: December 2015

SP 500 Earnings Yield / Fed Model / FOMC Meeting / Year-end Rally

December 12, 2015 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

“Fed Model” fans are familiar with the SP 500 earnings yield, since it is the Fed Model calculation that subtracts…

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Posted in: FDX, Fed Model, ORCL, SP 500 Earnings Yield, Treasuries, Weekly Earnings Update

An Eye-Opening Chart on Commodity Performance and a Look At Basic Materials 2016 Earnings Estimates

December 9, 2015 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Stocks Versus Commodities The above link is a chart from “This Week on Wall Street”, a blog run by Doug…

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Posted in: Basic Materials, Commodities

A Look at 2016: Let’s Check on the Financial and Energy Sectors

December 5, 2015 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

With companies holding their annual investor days throughout December, the earnings estimates will start to take shape for full-year 2016,…

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Posted in: Energy sector, Financial sector, Financials, Home Depot (HD), LEN, TOL, UTX

Weekly Earnings Update; Q4 ’15 SP 500 Earnings Still Reflecting Energy and Basic Materials Drag

Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Factset had the most cogent metric this week, with their weekly “Earnings Insight” by John Butters noting that, thanks to…

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Posted in: Energy sector, Weekly Earnings Update

Growth vs Value: Continued Wide Disparity in 2015 Returns

December 1, 2015 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Readers know that as a huge fan of Bespoke Research, I like to copy and paste some of their work…

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Posted in: Amazon, Facebook (FB), FB, GOOG, GOOGL, Growth v Value

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Fundamentalis

  • Style-Box Update: Small-Cap Value Outperforming Small-Cap Growth – Hasn’t Happened since 2022
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  • Expecting Modest, but Still Likely Positive Return, for the SP 500 in 2026
  • Gold Breaks a 40-year Correlation. Does This Signal a Problem for SP 500 Forward Returns ?
  • The 2025 Estimated SP 500 EPS Growth Rate has Improved from +9% in July, ’25 to +14% on Dec 12 ’25

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