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Category: 2017 Fiscal Policy

President’s SOTU Address: Watch the Treasury Market / Interest rates for Growth Tell

February 28, 2017 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Tonight, the President gives his State of the Union (SOTU) address, his first as President of the United States, and…

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Posted in: 2017, 2017 Fiscal Policy

How Good is the SP 500 “Fwd 4-Quarter Estimate” at Predicting the Year-End Actual Estimate ?

February 20, 2017 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Reader “dmarilley” over on Seeking Alpha asked a good question about a month ago, but it has taken me some…

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Posted in: 2017, 2017 Fiscal Policy, Forward SP 500 earnings curve, Fwd 4-qtr growth rate (SP 500)

Tax reform and the Border Tax – A Quick Primer on SP 500 Earnings Impact

February 9, 2017 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

One of the risks with the time it takes to push through what might be the biggest change to the…

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Posted in: 2017, 2017 Fiscal Policy, Treasuries, US Dollar

SP 500 Valuation: Seems Reasonable Presently and Walking Up SP 500 Earnings Growth

February 8, 2017 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Seth Klarman, a well-known value investor in a recent letter to clients, talked about “perilously high valuations”. In addition, we…

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Posted in: 2017 Fiscal Policy, Amazon, SP 500 Valuation

SP 500 Weekly Earnings Update: Forward 4-Qtr Growth Rate Highest Since Late 2014

January 22, 2017 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S data by the numbers:  Forward 4-Quarter estimate: $132.93 vs last week’s $132.75 P.E ratio: 17(x) PEG ratio:…

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Posted in: 2017, 2017 Fiscal Policy, Weekly Earnings Update

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