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Author: Brian Gilmartin

SP 500 Earnings: Sharp Jump in Treasury Yields / Nvidia and April PCE data This Coming Week

May 20, 2023 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

With mega-cap tech / growth up 25.95% this year (Vanguard mega-cap growth ETF, MGK), the semiconductor group is being pulled…

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Posted in: Costco (COST), Treasuries, Weekly Earnings Update

Style-Box Update: 5/15/23 – Growth Resumes Outperformance / Don’t Forget Non-US / Russell 2000

May 16, 2023 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

The above spreadsheet shows the relative performance of the various US equity market asset classes, starting with large-cap growth and…

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Posted in: International (Non-US), IWM, Russell 2000, Style analysis

SP 500 Earnings: Financial and Energy Sectors

May 14, 2023 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

With Walmart’s scheduled earnings Thursday morning, May 18th, 2023, it is thought that the earnings season unofficially ends with Walmart’s…

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Posted in: Consumer Staples, Energy sector, Financial sector, Weekly Earnings Update, WMT

SP 500 Earnings: Big Jump in Q1 ’23 SP 500 EPS Estimate

May 7, 2023 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Rather than bury the lead, the blog will show the increase in the Q1 ’23 SP 500 EPS estimate since…

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Posted in: Weekly Earnings Update

So Many Market Narratives, Don’t Forget Price

April 30, 2023 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Promised readers in this weekend’s SP 500 earnings comments that a quick history of the “upside surprise” for SP 500…

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Posted in: 60/40 portfolio, Corporate High Yield, Corporate HighGrade Bonds, FOMC meeting, High-Yield Credit, HYG, Market breadth

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Fundamentalis

  • The 2025 Estimated SP 500 EPS Growth Rate has Improved from +9% in July, ’25 to +14% on Dec 12 ’25
  • Nike Earnings Preview: Expect a Better Quarter, But Elliott’s Still Running a Marathon with a Piano on His Back
  • Fed Funds Cut Coming Wednesday, December 10th / Longer-Maturity Move Likely to Happen w Fed Chair Change
  • Probability Grows for Below-Average Returns in 2026
  • SP 500 Earnings: Forward SP 500 Estimates Still Rising – Oracle Reports This Week

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