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Author: Brian Gilmartin

Yield Curve Steepened Last Week, While the US Equity Indices Became Very Overbought

September 13, 2025 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

While Treasury yields have rallied sharply over the last three weeks (since the end of August) it looks like the…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, FOMC meeting, stock market sentiment

SP 500 Earnings: 2026 Expected SP 500 EPS Hasn’t Wavered Much from Expected 14% Growth Rate

September 12, 2025 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

If readers click on and expand the following spreadsheet, its shows the weekly progression of SP 500 EPS estimates (since…

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Posted in: SP 500 EPS "rate-of-change"

SP 500 Earnings: Continued Upward Pressure on Forward SP 500 Estimates

September 8, 2025 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

To say that we are in an unusual period for SP 500 earnings isn’t an exaggeration given the continued upward…

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Posted in: Market breadth, Nvidia (NVDA), ORCL

Bond / Fixed-Income Returns Having a Good Year (so far) in 2025

August 31, 2025 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

While the SP 500 is up 10.72% YTD as of Friday, 8/29, so in fact is the Barclays Aggregate and…

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Posted in: Bond Funds, Bond Market(s), Bond Market(s) annual return, TLT

SP 500 Earnings: SP 500 EPS Growth for 2025 Has Risen from 8% to 10% since Late June

August 29, 2025 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Pretty hard to believe, given what we were facing in early April ’25 with “Liberation Day” but the estimated SP…

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Posted in: Weekly Earnings Update

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Fundamentalis

  • Bond Markets Getting Oversold; Fed Funds Futures Indicate the FOMC Will Stand Pat on Wednesday, July 29th
  • SP 500 Earnings: SP Earnings Yield now 5%; A Quick Take on Google’s Earnings Report
  • Alphabet Earnings Preview: The Big Metrics: Free-Cash-Flow and Capex Guidance
  • IBM Earnings Preview: A Maddening Long Since the Late ’24 Breakout
  • JPMorgan, CitiBank Earnings Previews: Share Repurchases and Capital Return Are Probably Under-Appreciated

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