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Author: Brian Gilmartin

Interest Rates and the Financial Sector

October 7, 2018 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

The Financial sector is one of client’s overweights and it’s lagged the SP 500 badly all year. Up just 2%…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, 2008 Financial Crisis, Financial sector, Financials, interest rates, JPM, WFC

SP 500 Earnings: There Has Been Little Downward Pressure on SP 500 Earnings Estimates

October 6, 2018 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Looking at overall SP 500 estimates for the 3rd and 4th quarters of 2018: Q3 ’18:  As of 10/5/18: +21.5%…

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Posted in: 2019 SP 500 earnings, SP 500 Earnings Yield, Weekly Earnings Update

Most Americans Under 40 Have Never Seen a Bond Bear Market, and Why it May Not Matter

October 5, 2018 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

(The weekly SP 500 earnings update will be posted tomorrow, i.e. Saturday, 10/6/18.) One of the reasons I chose the…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, Bear Markets, Bond Funds, Bond Market Liquidity, Bond Market(s)

Breakdowns in 10 and 30-year Treasuries Today

October 4, 2018 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

The 10-year Treasury’s yield closed today at 3.16% and depending on the source you listen to, 3.16% represents the highest…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, LEN, TOL, Treasuries

The Coming “Bump” in the Forward Estimate and the TLT

October 2, 2018 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

  An excellent technician, Gary Morrow, as well as a long-time acquaintance, with his TLT chart from 10/1/18. The 3.12%…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, Weekly Earnings Update

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Fundamentalis

  • Yield Curve Steepened Last Week, While the US Equity Indices Became Very Overbought
  • SP 500 Earnings: 2026 Expected SP 500 EPS Hasn’t Wavered Much from Expected 14% Growth Rate
  • SP 500 Earnings: Continued Upward Pressure on Forward SP 500 Estimates
  • Bond / Fixed-Income Returns Having a Good Year (so far) in 2025
  • SP 500 Earnings: SP 500 EPS Growth for 2025 Has Risen from 8% to 10% since Late June

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