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Insightful market commentary from a fresh perspective.
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Why the Last Two Weeks of December ’15 Matter

December 20, 2015 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Yesterday, on  this blog, we articulated the bullish case for stock prices for 2016 (here), referencing and linking to some…

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Posted in: Brazil (EWZ), EEM, Emerging Markets, Energy sector, IYE), Kimble / Detrick, SP 500 200-day moving average, SP 500 chart, Technical Analysis, VWO)

10% SP 500 return in 2016 Shouldn’t Be A Surprise

December 19, 2015 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Per Bespoke, bullish sentiment is at a 3-year low (according to Bespoke’s sentiment work published late this week), and with…

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Posted in: EEM, Emerging Markets, Energy sector, Financial sector, Financials, Forecasts, Technology, US Dollar

SP 500 Earnings Yield / Fed Model / FOMC Meeting / Year-end Rally

December 12, 2015 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

“Fed Model” fans are familiar with the SP 500 earnings yield, since it is the Fed Model calculation that subtracts…

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Posted in: FDX, Fed Model, ORCL, SP 500 Earnings Yield, Treasuries, Weekly Earnings Update

An Eye-Opening Chart on Commodity Performance and a Look At Basic Materials 2016 Earnings Estimates

December 9, 2015 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Stocks Versus Commodities The above link is a chart from “This Week on Wall Street”, a blog run by Doug…

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Posted in: Basic Materials, Commodities

A Look at 2016: Let’s Check on the Financial and Energy Sectors

December 5, 2015 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

With companies holding their annual investor days throughout December, the earnings estimates will start to take shape for full-year 2016,…

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Posted in: Energy sector, Financial sector, Financials, Home Depot (HD), LEN, TOL, UTX

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Fundamentalis

  • Style-Box Update: Small-Cap Value Outperforming Small-Cap Growth – Hasn’t Happened since 2022
  • A Quick Look at Q4 ’25 EPS and Revenue for SP 500: Tech Sector EPS Grew 30.9% in Q3 ’25
  • Expecting Modest, but Still Likely Positive Return, for the SP 500 in 2026
  • Gold Breaks a 40-year Correlation. Does This Signal a Problem for SP 500 Forward Returns ?
  • The 2025 Estimated SP 500 EPS Growth Rate has Improved from +9% in July, ’25 to +14% on Dec 12 ’25

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