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Monthly Archives: October 2018

SP 500 Revenue Growth: 2018 SP 500 Revenue Growth the Strongest in Past 7 Years

October 30, 2018

By Brian Gilmartin

  Revenue Period S&P 500 Total 2020E 2019E 5.4% 2018E 8.4% 2017 6.6% 2016 1.1% 2015 -3.6% 2014 3.9% 2013 1.5% 2012 1.7% Source: Refinitiv IBES Thanks to Tajinder Dhillon, part of David Aurelio’s team at Refinitiv IBES, the old … Continued

It’s SP 500 Revenue Growth That May be the Issue

October 28, 2018

By Brian Gilmartin

  David I. Templeton of Horan Capital Advisors out of Cincinnati, posted this Q3 ’18 SP 500 revenue update to Twitter (@HoranCapitalAdvisors) on Saturday, October 27th, 2018. It’s important info, but to supplement David’s work, let’s take a look at … Continued

Forward 4-Qtr Estimate Has Fallen Slightly While Apple’s Numbers Have Risen

October 26, 2018

By Brian Gilmartin

Apple may throw a life vest to the beleaguered Technology sector this week, with their fiscal Q4 ’18 financial results release after the bell on November 1, ’18. To keep tonight’s post short and sweet, here is how Apple’s EPS … Continued

Microsoft Tonight: Old Tech Giant Successfully Transforming a Business Model

October 24, 2018

By Brian Gilmartin

One of the themes written about over on Seeking Alpha the last 10 years is the “Original (Tech) Gangsters” which represented the growth giants from the 1990’s, which includes Microsoft (MSFT), Intel (INTC), Oracle (ORCL), Cisco (CSCO) and even IBM … Continued

Technology Sector: Let’s Take a Look into 2019

October 23, 2018

By Brian Gilmartin

Here is the expected (and actual) EPS and revenue growth for the Technology sector: Q4 ’19: +11.3%, +5.6% (est) Q3 ’19:+9.6%, +5.6% (est) Q2 ’19: +5%, +4.8% (est) Q1 ’19: +6.8%, +5.1% (est) Q4 ’18: +13.8%, +5.3% (est) Q3 ’18: … Continued

Emerging/Submerging Markets and Non-US: Signs of Life ?

October 22, 2018

By Brian Gilmartin

  Bespoke – in their weekly Research Report – published every Friday night, had a great graph on what could be a potential bottoming in Emerging Markets the last few weeks. This blog has written previously about Emerging Markets and … Continued

Frustrating Financials: Like the SP 500, Seeing a Year of PE Compression ?

October 21, 2018

By Brian Gilmartin

Seasonally, the SP 500 is entering one it’s strongest periods of the calendar year. The SPY’s YTD total return as of Friday, 10/19/18, was about 5%, while the XLF and KRE ETF’s returned -3% and -6% respectively, YTD. Client’s largest … Continued

SP 500 Earnings Yield – Using Forward and Trailing 4-Quarter SP 500 Earnings Data

October 20, 2018

By Brian Gilmartin

FCSP500EarningsYield The above link is a new spreadsheet comparing the “4-quarter trailing” SP 500 earnings yield and the “forward 4-quarter” SP 500 earnings yield. Readers have asked about the 4-quarter trailing SP 500 EPS earnings yield, but the time was … Continued

Tech Sector: All about Apple Now, and SP 500 Earnings Yield Closes at 6.27% Again

October 19, 2018

By Brian Gilmartin

Apple does not report until Thursday, November 1 ’18, but the smartphone giant is the big dog in the Technology sector after the creation of the Communications sector. Per David Aurelio of Refinitiv IBES, Apple’s EPS weight within the Tech … Continued

Netflix – No Pressure on Forward Estimates, But Cash-Flow Would be Nice

October 16, 2018

By Brian Gilmartin

This summer, the CFA Society of Chicago, in one of their well-attended Vault Series presentations, featured Ted Reilly, the founder of Chicago Media Angels, the Chicago start-up that fills the gap between the artistic moviemaker and investment capital. For some … Continued

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  • Oracle Earnings Preview: Oracle’s Fairly Valued, but Revenue Growth Lags due to Cloud Transition
  • Looking EPS and Revenue Volatility around the Energy Sector
  • SP 500 Weekly Earnings Update: Forward Estimate Growth Rate Showing Signs of a Bottom
  • 2020 SP 500 Sector Growth Rates Updated: Watch Consumer Discretionary
  • SP 500 Earnings Update: Adjusting for Tax Reform, 2019’s SP 500 EPS Growth is Roughly 8%

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