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Insightful market commentary from a fresh perspective.
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The Odds of a 50% Stock Market Correction

February 9, 2022 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

In a few words, the probabilities are likely pretty low. My own opinion was that we (meaning readers, investors and…

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Posted in: SP 500 corrections, SP 500 Historical Framework

SP 500 Earnings Update: Earnings Revisions Solid This Week, but Watch That 10-Year Treasury Yield

February 6, 2022 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

The big issue for the SP 500 and the US stock market (in my opinion) is that – after the…

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Posted in: 10-year Treasury yield, Weekly Earnings Update

Big Tech Companies Reporting This Week: The Game is Changing. Watch Merck This Week

January 30, 2022 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Ed Yardeni has named the mega-cap companies that dominate the SP 500 index, the “Mega-cap 8”. This week we hear…

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Posted in: Amazon, FB, GOOGL, MRK

The Real Risk to Growth Stock and “Style” Investing

January 29, 2022 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

The familiar litany heard from clients in the late 1990’s and lately today when the subject of trimming winners arises,…

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Posted in: Growth v Value

SP 500 Earnings Update: SP 500 Earnings Yield Still Above 5%

January 28, 2022 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Technically, Q4 ’21 earnings releases will last another 3 weeks or so and then Q4 ’21 will be done. Since…

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Posted in: BA, Industrials, SP 500 Earnings Yield, Weekly Earnings Update

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Fundamentalis

  • SP 500 Earnings: Financials Report This Week – Expectations Are Quite High and Compares Are Tough
  • Style-Box Update: Small-Cap Value Outperforming Small-Cap Growth – Hasn’t Happened since 2022
  • A Quick Look at Q4 ’25 EPS and Revenue for SP 500: Tech Sector EPS Grew 30.9% in Q3 ’25
  • Expecting Modest, but Still Likely Positive Return, for the SP 500 in 2026
  • Gold Breaks a 40-year Correlation. Does This Signal a Problem for SP 500 Forward Returns ?

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