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Insightful market commentary from a fresh perspective.
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SP 500 Rally is Scary but Pattern Portends Positively / Morningstar Had the Covid-19 Call Right

June 7, 2020 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

This chart is checked every 3 – 6 months. The “average, annual” return on the SP 500 from 1/1/200 is…

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Posted in: Corporate High Yield, Credit markets, GS, Morningstar data, UUP

SP 500 Earnings Update: 2021 SP 500 EPS Still Above 2019

June 5, 2020 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

So far anyway, although there is another 4 weeks until Q2 ’20 earnings start, here is how 2019 – 2021…

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Posted in: SP 500 estimate revision data, Weekly Earnings Update

Q3 and Q4 ’20 SP 500 EPS and Revenue Expectations – Look Beyond This Quarter

June 3, 2020 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

  Thanks to David Aurelio and TJ Dhillon at IBES for providing the above data for the trend-watching in y/y…

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Posted in: SP 500 estimate revision data, SP 500 Revenue Growth

Style-Box Update, Small-Cap and High-Yield, and Sector Returns

May 31, 2020 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

  Nothing has really changed yet in terms of “style-box” returns with Growth outpacing Value and Large-Cap beating Small-Cap. Late…

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Posted in: High-Yield Credit, HYG, Style analysis

SP 500 Revenue Update: First Signs of Stabilization in Expected Q2 ’20 Revenue

May 29, 2020 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

The constant focus on SP 500 earnings often overlooks the importance of SP 500 revenue. The same quality analysis of…

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Posted in: Corporate High Yield, Credit markets, SP 500 Earnings Yield, SP 500 estimate revision data, SP 500 Revenue Growth, Weekly Earnings Update

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Fundamentalis

  • SP 500 Earnings: SP 500 Earnings Yield Jumps Over 5%, Sold the EMXC
  • JPMorgan, Citigroup, and Bank of America Earnings Previews: Eventually a Return to More Normal Growth
  • Market Breadth Perspective and Avoid Nike After the Guidedown
  • 10-year Treasury Note Greatly Oversold on Eve of September Nonfarm Payroll Report
  • Key Economic Data This Week and the Treasury 10-Year Yield Bias Still Higher

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