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Insightful market commentary from a fresh perspective.
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Q3 and Q4 ’20 SP 500 EPS and Revenue Expectations – Look Beyond This Quarter

June 3, 2020 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

  Thanks to David Aurelio and TJ Dhillon at IBES for providing the above data for the trend-watching in y/y…

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Posted in: SP 500 estimate revision data, SP 500 Revenue Growth

Style-Box Update, Small-Cap and High-Yield, and Sector Returns

May 31, 2020 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

  Nothing has really changed yet in terms of “style-box” returns with Growth outpacing Value and Large-Cap beating Small-Cap. Late…

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Posted in: High-Yield Credit, HYG, Style analysis

SP 500 Revenue Update: First Signs of Stabilization in Expected Q2 ’20 Revenue

May 29, 2020 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

The constant focus on SP 500 earnings often overlooks the importance of SP 500 revenue. The same quality analysis of…

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Posted in: Corporate High Yield, Credit markets, SP 500 Earnings Yield, SP 500 estimate revision data, SP 500 Revenue Growth, Weekly Earnings Update

25% SP 500 Rally in 40 Days

May 26, 2020 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

  Bespoke’s research is dollar-for-dollar one of the best returns for the expense that Trinity sees every year. From the…

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Posted in: Bespoke

Still a Lot of Value in Corporate Bond Market

May 24, 2020 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

        First off, a quick “hat-tip” or shout-out to Nicholas Colas and Jessica Rabe at DataTrek Research,…

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Posted in: Bond Funds, Bond Market Liquidity, Corporate High Yield, Credit markets, FRED charts, HYG

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Fundamentalis

  • Expecting Modest, but Still Likely Positive Return, for the SP 500 in 2026
  • Gold Breaks a 40-year Correlation. Does This Signal a Problem for SP 500 Forward Returns ?
  • The 2025 Estimated SP 500 EPS Growth Rate has Improved from +9% in July, ’25 to +14% on Dec 12 ’25
  • Nike Earnings Preview: Expect a Better Quarter, But Elliott’s Still Running a Marathon with a Piano on His Back
  • Fed Funds Cut Coming Wednesday, December 10th / Longer-Maturity Move Likely to Happen w Fed Chair Change

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