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Insightful market commentary from a fresh perspective.
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10% SP 500 return in 2016 Shouldn’t Be A Surprise

December 19, 2015 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Per Bespoke, bullish sentiment is at a 3-year low (according to Bespoke’s sentiment work published late this week), and with…

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Posted in: EEM, Emerging Markets, Energy sector, Financial sector, Financials, Forecasts, Technology, US Dollar

SP 500 Earnings Yield / Fed Model / FOMC Meeting / Year-end Rally

December 12, 2015 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

“Fed Model” fans are familiar with the SP 500 earnings yield, since it is the Fed Model calculation that subtracts…

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Posted in: FDX, Fed Model, ORCL, SP 500 Earnings Yield, Treasuries, Weekly Earnings Update

An Eye-Opening Chart on Commodity Performance and a Look At Basic Materials 2016 Earnings Estimates

December 9, 2015 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Stocks Versus Commodities The above link is a chart from “This Week on Wall Street”, a blog run by Doug…

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Posted in: Basic Materials, Commodities

A Look at 2016: Let’s Check on the Financial and Energy Sectors

December 5, 2015 Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

With companies holding their annual investor days throughout December, the earnings estimates will start to take shape for full-year 2016,…

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Posted in: Energy sector, Financial sector, Financials, Home Depot (HD), LEN, TOL, UTX

Weekly Earnings Update; Q4 ’15 SP 500 Earnings Still Reflecting Energy and Basic Materials Drag

Brian Gilmartin Leave a comment

Factset had the most cogent metric this week, with their weekly “Earnings Insight” by John Butters noting that, thanks to…

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Posted in: Energy sector, Weekly Earnings Update

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Fundamentalis

  • Fed Funds Cut Coming Wednesday, December 10th / Longer-Maturity Move Likely to Happen w Fed Chair Change
  • Probability Grows for Below-Average Returns in 2026
  • SP 500 Earnings: Forward SP 500 Estimates Still Rising – Oracle Reports This Week
  • International Equity Annual Returns: Non-Correlated to the US Returns and Don’t Forget Japan
  • Annual Fixed Income Returns: Emerging Markets Lead, Muni’s Lag

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