{"id":6193,"date":"2016-08-18T12:47:05","date_gmt":"2016-08-18T12:47:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/fundamentalis.com\/?p=6193"},"modified":"2016-08-18T12:47:05","modified_gmt":"2016-08-18T12:47:05","slug":"more-on-the-tech-sector-expected-tech-sector-eps-growth-with-and-wout-apple","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/fundamentalis.com\/?p=6193","title":{"rendered":"More on the Tech Sector: Expected Tech Sector EPS Growth With and w\/out Apple"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Thomson Reuters provided some useful earnings data on the SP 500&#8217;s Technology sector, so this is an update to <a href=\"https:\/\/fundamentalis.com\/?p=6185\">this blog post<\/a> of two days ago.<\/p>\n<p>Here is an updated table showing Technology sector&#8217;s expected EPS growth, with and without Apple.<\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"63\"><strong>Quarter<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"127\"><strong>Apple EPS Growth<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"116\"><strong>Tech EPS growth<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"104\"><strong>Tech ex-Apple<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"63\">Q2 2016<\/td>\n<td width=\"127\">-23.2%<\/td>\n<td width=\"116\">-1.2%<\/td>\n<td width=\"104\">6.9%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"63\">Q3 2016<\/td>\n<td width=\"127\">-16.1%<\/td>\n<td width=\"116\">3.3%<\/td>\n<td width=\"104\">8.5%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"63\">Q4 2016<\/td>\n<td width=\"127\">-5.3%<\/td>\n<td width=\"116\">4.7%<\/td>\n<td width=\"104\">8.7%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"63\">Q1 2017<\/td>\n<td width=\"127\">13.0%<\/td>\n<td width=\"116\">14.6%<\/td>\n<td width=\"104\">15.0%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Source: ThomsonReuters data dated 8\/16\/16<\/p>\n<p>From an investment or portfolio manager standpoint, the Technology sectors earnings growth should outperform the SP 500&#8217;s expected earnings growth, and Tech, Ex-Apple, should outperform both the SP 500 and Apple as an individual company.<\/p>\n<p>In addition, Apple&#8217;s fiscal &#8217;17 and &#8217;18 EPS and revenue revisions have turned positive &#8211; an important sign for relative strength.<\/p>\n<p>For new readers, scan www.fundamentalis.com for Tech and Apple related posts the last 4 weeks.<\/p>\n<p>This end-game for this analysis is that &#8211; for those bearish here and expecting a correction in the next 4 &#8211; 6 weeks, Technology should offer some relative strength and a sector to hide in for those skittish the tape.<\/p>\n<p>For those with a longer time horizon, as I have for clients, looking through year-end and into the Q1 &#8217;17, which will then lap the very weak Q1 &#8217;16, Technology should offer the potential for out-performance.<\/p>\n<p>These are just opinions, so invest based on your own comfort level and estimates do change daily.<\/p>\n<p>(Long Apple, and overweight Technology as a sector)<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Thomson Reuters provided some useful earnings data on the SP 500&#8217;s Technology sector, so this is an update to this&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[90,123],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6193","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-apple-aapl","category-technology"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"post_mailing_queue_ids":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/fundamentalis.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6193","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/fundamentalis.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/fundamentalis.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fundamentalis.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fundamentalis.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=6193"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/fundamentalis.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6193\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6197,"href":"https:\/\/fundamentalis.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6193\/revisions\/6197"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/fundamentalis.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=6193"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fundamentalis.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=6193"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fundamentalis.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=6193"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}