{"id":5427,"date":"2015-12-01T16:01:36","date_gmt":"2015-12-01T16:01:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/fundamentalis.com\/?p=5427"},"modified":"2015-12-01T16:01:36","modified_gmt":"2015-12-01T16:01:36","slug":"growth-vs-value-continued-wide-disparity-in-2015-returns","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/fundamentalis.com\/?p=5427","title":{"rendered":"Growth vs Value: Continued Wide Disparity in 2015 Returns"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.bespokepremium.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/etfmatrix.png\" alt=\"\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Readers know that as a huge fan of Bespoke Research, I like to copy and paste some of their work to this blog as a source of reader enlightenment (hopefully).<\/p>\n<p>Yesterday&#8217;s Bespoke Key ETF performance recap (dated November 30, 2015), which we like to scrutinize at every week, month and quarter end, continues to show that &#8220;SP 500 Growth&#8221; continues to far outperform &#8220;SP 500 Value&#8221; mainly due to the out-performance in the Technology sector, Amazon (AMZN is a consumer Discretionary component) and the drubbing in Energy and Basic Materials sectors. (First column, 2nd box &#8211; look at the returns of the Growth vs Value ETF&#8217;s &#8211; you&#8217;ll get the point.)<\/p>\n<p>Personally, the FANG trade (i.e. Facebook, Amazon, Netflix, and Google) looks extended and way overbought, but you could have said that at any point in the last 180 days.<\/p>\n<p>I told a client at a meeting in the last 2 weeks, that Facebook could pull all the way back to the low $80&#8217;s and still be technically intact.<\/p>\n<p>What has surprised me about this year and the &#8220;Growth vs Value&#8221; return disparity, is that this dispersion typically happens in markets where the SP 500 has a pretty decent year, i.e. +10% &#8211; 15%. Normally in flat years, or weaker years, Value tends to do better, if memory services correctly.<\/p>\n<p>Note the disparity in the 10 SP 500 sector returns (first column, 3rd block) &#8211; Energy and Industrial&#8217;s could be the sleeper sector for 2016 if only by being &#8220;less worse&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p>Personally, while Growth could still do well in 2016, I suspect Value won&#8217;t under-perform to the same degree in 2016.<\/p>\n<p>Look for this performance disparity to dissipate in 2016, maybe even reverse.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Readers know that as a huge fan of Bespoke Research, I like to copy and paste some of their work&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[152,57,22,13,110,141],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5427","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-amazon","category-facebook-fb","category-fb","category-goog","category-googl","category-growth-v-value"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"post_mailing_queue_ids":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/fundamentalis.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5427","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/fundamentalis.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/fundamentalis.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fundamentalis.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fundamentalis.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=5427"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/fundamentalis.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5427\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5431,"href":"https:\/\/fundamentalis.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5427\/revisions\/5431"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/fundamentalis.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=5427"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fundamentalis.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=5427"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fundamentalis.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=5427"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}