{"id":4907,"date":"2015-06-15T13:04:00","date_gmt":"2015-06-15T13:04:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/fundamentalis.com\/?p=4907"},"modified":"2015-06-15T13:04:00","modified_gmt":"2015-06-15T13:04:00","slug":"weekly-earnings-update-q2-15-earnings-revisions-not-as-negative-as-typically-seen","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/fundamentalis.com\/?p=4907","title":{"rendered":"Weekly Earnings Update: Q2 &#8217;15 Earnings Revisions Not As Negative As Typically Seen"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Per Thomson Reuters, the &#8220;forward 4-quarter&#8221; estimate this week was $122.01, down from last week&#8217;s $122.12.<\/p>\n<p>The P.E ratio on the forward estimate is 17.3(x).<\/p>\n<p>The PEG ratio is (25), or a little less than 2(x) excluding Apple and Energy<\/p>\n<p>The SP 500 earnings yield was 5.83%, in line with last week&#8217;s 5.84%.<\/p>\n<p>The year-over-year growth rate of the forward estimate was -0.68%, unchanged from last week&#8217;s -0.69%, but negative for 7 consecutive weeks.<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Analysis \/ conclusion:<\/strong><\/em>\u00a0We are in the proverbial dead-zone where SP 500 earnings are concerned as we await the May &#8217;15 quarter end reports. This week we get FedEx Corp (FDX) and Oracle (ORCL), which is large-cap tech and the one of the two largest by market-cap of the Transport companies.<\/p>\n<p>John Butters, Facset&#8217;s earnings guru, had an interesting line in this weekend&#8217;s Facset Earnings Insight: &#8220;Analysts have lowered earnings estimates for the SP 500 for Q2 &#8217;15 to date, by a smaller margin relative to recent quarters&#8221;, which fits with our Weekly Earnings Update last week, that we will likely see stronger earnings as we move into the 2nd and 3rd quarters.<\/p>\n<p>The Energy and US dollar drags, not to mention the US West Coast port slowdown are starting to ebb.<\/p>\n<p>Energy revisions (per Factset) are actually having a positive influence in expected Q2 &#8217;15 earnings, since the expected negative growth rate has improved since March 31, to -61%, from -62.3%. (Energy compares start to get easier with Q3 &#8217;15 results.) That -61% is still a sharply negative y\/y growth rate, with the point being that revisions are higher, not lower.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Per Thomson Reuters, the &#8220;forward 4-quarter&#8221; estimate this week was $122.01, down from last week&#8217;s $122.12. The P.E ratio on&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3,91],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4907","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-earnings","category-weekly-earnings-update"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"post_mailing_queue_ids":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/fundamentalis.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4907","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/fundamentalis.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/fundamentalis.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fundamentalis.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fundamentalis.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=4907"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/fundamentalis.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4907\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4908,"href":"https:\/\/fundamentalis.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4907\/revisions\/4908"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/fundamentalis.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=4907"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fundamentalis.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=4907"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fundamentalis.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=4907"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}