{"id":3765,"date":"2014-06-13T21:31:22","date_gmt":"2014-06-13T21:31:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/fundamentalis.com\/?p=3765"},"modified":"2014-06-13T21:31:22","modified_gmt":"2014-06-13T21:31:22","slug":"6-13-14-sp-500-earnings-update-2014-shaping-up-well-in-terms-of-earnings-growth","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/fundamentalis.com\/?p=3765","title":{"rendered":"6.13.14: SP 500 Earnings Update: 2014 Shaping Up Well in Terms of Earnings Growth"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Per Thomson\u00a0Reuters, the &#8220;forward 4-quarter estimate&#8221; for the SP 500 rose $0.02 this week to $122.96.<\/p>\n<p>The p.e on the forward estimate is now 15.75(x). The PEG ratio remains at 1.85(x).<\/p>\n<p>With a forward p.e of roughly 16(x), and estimated SP 500 earnings growth rate of 2014 of 8% &#8211; 10%, there is still room for p.e expansion into year-end or the 4th quarter.<\/p>\n<p>The earnings yield on the SP 500 as of June 13th, 2014 is 6.35%, up a smidge from last week.<\/p>\n<p>The y\/y growth rate of the forward estimate slipped slightly to 8.51% this week, from 8.59% last week.<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Color commentary:<\/strong> <\/em>as we approach the end of the 2nd quarter, first quarter earnings are pretty much completed with 496 of the 500 SP 500 companies reporting. q1 &#8217;14 earnings came in right where we thought they might at +5.6%. Growth looked grim in early April, but that is always the case. q2 &#8217;14 earnings are still holding up with +6.8% y\/y earnings growth expected, is still pretty robust relative to the last 8 &#8211; 10 quarters.\u00a0 We get a good mix of earnings over the next two weeks across the SP 500, with Micron (MU &#8211; technology), Fed-Ex (FDX &#8211; transport \/ industrial), Oracle (ORCL &#8211; enterprise tech software), Lennar (LEN &#8211; homebuilder), and solid retailers like WAG and NKE, and Bed Bath &amp; Beyond (BBBY).<\/p>\n<p>We try and look at SP 500 earnings over multiple timeframes, and the full-year 2014 SP estimates currently call for +9.1% earnings growth for the year, for the major benchmark.<\/p>\n<p>Not much new here to detail. SP 500 earnings are supportive of this market.<\/p>\n<p>The Energy (+10.8% YTD per the SPDR ETF) and Utility (+12.09% per SPDR ETF) sectors are leading the SP 500 year-to-date, but the fastest earnings growth is expected to come from Health Care (+12.2%) and Technology (+10.4%) per the Thomson Reuters data.<\/p>\n<p>The companies that report over the next two weeks, will give us a good look at companies with quarters ending May 31, so we get a new sector data points on SP 500 earnings over the next 16 days.<\/p>\n<p>Wish there was more to write about on earnings. The 2nd quarter will likely be decent\u00a0growth as the numbers and trends look now. q2 &#8217;14 earnings start getting released around July 10th.<\/p>\n<p>We owe readers an update on SP 500 revenue growth. Coming shortly.<\/p>\n<p>Trinity Asset Management, Inc. by:<\/p>\n<p>Brian Gilmartin, CFA<\/p>\n<p>Portfolio manager<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Per Thomson\u00a0Reuters, the &#8220;forward 4-quarter estimate&#8221; for the SP 500 rose $0.02 this week to $122.96. The p.e on the&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[91],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3765","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-weekly-earnings-update"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"post_mailing_queue_ids":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/fundamentalis.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3765","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/fundamentalis.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/fundamentalis.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fundamentalis.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fundamentalis.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=3765"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/fundamentalis.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3765\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3771,"href":"https:\/\/fundamentalis.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3765\/revisions\/3771"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/fundamentalis.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=3765"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fundamentalis.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=3765"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fundamentalis.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=3765"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}