{"id":19567,"date":"2026-05-29T14:35:46","date_gmt":"2026-05-29T20:35:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/fundamentalis.com\/?p=19567"},"modified":"2026-05-29T14:35:46","modified_gmt":"2026-05-29T20:35:46","slug":"sp-500-earnings-dont-forget-about-sp-500-revenue-growth-maybe-a-better-story","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/fundamentalis.com\/?p=19567","title":{"rendered":"SP 500 Earnings: Don&#8217;t Forget About SP 500 Revenue Growth, Maybe a Better Story"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>As of this morning&#8217;s LSEG data, SP 500 revenue growth is on track to grow +11.3% as of May 29, 26.<\/p>\n<p>While last week&#8217;s blog post saw SP 500 EPS up smartly again (and Ed Yardeni took his Wall Street tour this week, talking FEMO i.e. forward earnings momentum, vs FOMO (fear of missing out), talking about SP 500 revenue growth seems to have been forgotten.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/fundamentalis.com\/?p=19435\">This blog discussed SP 500 revenue on April 19th<\/a>, or about 6 weeks ago.<\/p>\n<p>The +11.3% y-o-y revenue growth rate quoted above for Q1 &#8217;26, is the strongest growth rate since Q3 &#8217;22&#8217;s (and zero-interest-rate influenced) +11.7%.<\/p>\n<p>While COVID distorted all the SP 500 metrics (from Q1 &#8217;20 through mid &#8217;22), since we don&#8217;t have that monetary policy distortion today, the Q1 &#8217;26 +11.3% expected growth rate compares more favorably to the decade from 2010 to 2019.<\/p>\n<p>To give readers a benchmark, the &#8220;average&#8221; revenue growth rate for the SP 500 from Q4 &#8217;12 through Q4 &#8217;19 was just 3.2%.<\/p>\n<p>Outside of Covid, I couldn&#8217;t find any quarters that saw SP 500 revenue grow at an 11% y-o-y rate.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s how the sectors ranked in terms of revenue growth for Q1 &#8217;26 thus far:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><em><strong>Tech:<\/strong><\/em> +30.3%<\/li>\n<li><em><strong>Utilities:<\/strong><\/em> +13.7%<\/li>\n<li><em><strong>Communication Services:<\/strong><\/em> +13.6%<\/li>\n<li><em><strong>Real Estate:<\/strong><\/em> +11.7% (somewhat surprising)<\/li>\n<li><em><strong>Basic Materials:<\/strong><\/em> +10.8%<\/li>\n<li><em><strong>Financials:<\/strong><\/em> +9.6%<\/li>\n<li><em><strong>Consumer Disc:<\/strong><\/em> +9.5%<\/li>\n<li><em><strong>Industrials:<\/strong><\/em> +8.8%<\/li>\n<li><em><strong>Health Care:<\/strong> <\/em>+7%<\/li>\n<li><em><strong>Consumer Staples:<\/strong> <\/em>+7.5%<\/li>\n<li><em><strong>Energy:<\/strong> <\/em>+4.3% (The Iran conflict was just one month of Q1 &#8217;26). Energy revenue growth for Q2 &#8217;26 as of today is expected at +24.8%.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>From early April &#8217;26 through Friday May 29th, &#8217;26, expected technology sector revenue was just 3%, from 27% on April 10, to 30.3% today.<\/p>\n<p>Maybe more interesting is that the utility sector was expecting +8.3% on April 10th, but as of May 29th, utility sector revenue growth was 13.7%. That&#8217;s the biggest delta in terms of revenue growth for the 11 SP 500 sectors.<\/p>\n<p>Technology&#8217;s +30.3% revenue growth for Q1 &#8217;26 is the highest rate of growth for tech &#8211; even including Covid &#8211; since Q4 &#8217;12. (This blog began tracking this data separately in Q4 &#8217;12.)<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Quick summary:<\/strong><\/em> Everyone talks SP 500 earnings, including this blog, fewer talk revenue growth. Quick question for readers: which do you think is the more important metric, EPS or revenue growth ? Actually, I&#8217;d probably answer operating income or what the sell-side refers to as &#8220;EBIT&#8221;, but without revenue, that train doesn&#8217;t run.<\/p>\n<p>The blog post linked above from mid-April, &#8217;26 talked about comparing the President&#8217;s two tax cut plans, i.e. the Tax Cuts &amp; Jobs Act (TCJA) and the One Big Beautiful Bill (OBBB), and both instances saw SP 500 revenue jump sharply. The quarters around TC&amp;JA, saw much better than average revenue growth, than the rest of the decade.<\/p>\n<p>This move in tech in &#8217;26 is largely AI driven but a favorable tax environment doesn&#8217;t hurt.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/fundamentalis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/SP500revenuegrowthbyqtrfor2026.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-medium wp-image-19575\" src=\"https:\/\/fundamentalis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/SP500revenuegrowthbyqtrfor2026-155x300.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"155\" height=\"300\" srcset=\"https:\/\/fundamentalis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/SP500revenuegrowthbyqtrfor2026-155x300.png 155w, https:\/\/fundamentalis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/SP500revenuegrowthbyqtrfor2026-77x150.png 77w, https:\/\/fundamentalis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/SP500revenuegrowthbyqtrfor2026.png 261w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 155px) 100vw, 155px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s how the SP 500 expected revenue growth is scheduled to unfold, per the LSEG data as of today.<\/p>\n<p>None of this is advice or a recommendation, but only an opinion. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.<\/p>\n<p>Thanks for reading.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>As of this morning&#8217;s LSEG data, SP 500 revenue growth is on track to grow +11.3% as of May 29,&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[114,91],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-19567","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-sp-500-revenue-growth","category-weekly-earnings-update"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"post_mailing_queue_ids":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/fundamentalis.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19567","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/fundamentalis.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/fundamentalis.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fundamentalis.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fundamentalis.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=19567"}],"version-history":[{"count":10,"href":"https:\/\/fundamentalis.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19567\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":19578,"href":"https:\/\/fundamentalis.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19567\/revisions\/19578"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/fundamentalis.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=19567"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fundamentalis.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=19567"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fundamentalis.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=19567"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}